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We will be blogging through the president's speech tonight, no matter how great the pain. (The pain will be treated at the nearest Obamacare storefront clinic.) Speech is at 8 o'clock EST.
I have a new piece up at Hudson New York called "Pushing the Reset Button." For those interested, it's here.
WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 9, 2009
As readers know, I've been speculating here that Clinton might eventually resign, but would do so at a politically convenient time. I have my doubts, though, about this report. To run for governor here in New York, Clinton would have to do three things: 1) arrange for the current Dem governor, the vastly unpopular David Paterson, to drop out of the race. Paterson is African-American. Hillary learned last year what it's like to oppose an African-American in a Democratic primary. I'm sure she's not relishing a repeat performance. 2) arrange for Andrew Cuomo to seek other opportunities. For whatever reason, Andrew Cuomo, state attorney general and son of former Governor Mario Cuomo, is quite popular here. If Paterson is out, it's widely understood that Cuomo essentially has the nomination for the asking. Does Hillary really want to run against him, and possibly lose? 3) convince people that this isn't some cynical maneuver to get into the presidential race in 2012 if Obama falters. Remember, Richard Nixon lost the race for president in 1960, then ran for governor of California in 1962, and lost again. I think part of that loss was due to skepticism that he wanted to be governor at all. People knew the governorship would be just a launching pad for another presidential run. Tough road for Hillary. My hunch is that she won't do it, but I won't be shocked if I'm wrong. September 9, 2009 Permalink
COMMENT: This comes just weeks before the supposed "deadline" for Iran to start negotiating seriously on its nuclear program. It appears that Iran wants confrontation. The question is whether Obama will confront the mullah regime, or let more time pass for "engagement." Things aren't getting any better. September 9, 2009 Permalink
1. The idea that you can pay for this program through eliminating waste, fraud and abuse is getting ridiculed. The president wants to convince us that the same government that has allowed this corruption to grow can now, with a snap of the fingers, eliminate it. Come on. 2. The president threw a fig leaf to the GOP on tort reform, but he should have been far more forthcoming. As Karl Rove just said on Fox, the Republicans have a tort-reform plan, in detail. The president might have adopted at least part of it. 3. There was far too little "process" in the speech. What people are asking is this: "When I go to the doctor now, this is what happens. How will that change under your plan?" While the president did provide some detail on his plan, he failed to provide what Walter Lippmann called "the picture in our heads." Most of you heard the speech. Can you tell me how this new system will actually work? More coming on this. 9:02 P.M. ET: We'll have more commentary later, but we want to hear the Republican response, which is on now. I'll say this: On balance, a good speech by Obama, but marred in too many places by hard partisan lines. Let's listen to the Republican response. 9:01 P.M. ET: Now comes the tribute to Ted Kennedy and his work for health-care reform. Okay, that's fair. Obama now seems to be demeaning people who criticize him, suggesting that some are small and mean-spirited. Bad way to end the speech. Speech over. 8:55 P.M. ET: The president says his plan will cost less than the Iraq and Afghanistan wars. Awful. Absolutely awful. You don't compare anything with the cost of protecting the country. This is typical left-wing stuff. It brings the speech down. A bad moment that will send the wrong message to our enemies overseas - that we're counting the pennies in national defense. 8:51 P.M. ET: Wow. Mr. Obama now says he favors malpractice reform - tort reform. He will initiate some kind of demonstration projects. A start, but not good enough, not nearly good enough. He's opened the door, but he has to do far more in the current bill. 8:49 P.M. ET: Mr. Obama says he will not sign any bill that adds to the federal deficit. That's ridiculous. There's no way to predict these things, and any program would most likely cost far more than predicted. The president says a lot of the money to pay for his plan would come from eliminating waste, fraud and abuse. Fine, but that pledge is made often in government, and we generally find that the savings don't equal the costs. 8:42 P.M. ET: The president now proposes a public option. There is great screaming and yelling from the Democratic side. He now explains the public option, and he makes it sound attractive. We can't right now examine this because the devil is, indeed, in the details. The president says he will not back down on the public option, but there is a bit of vagueness there. Republicans are silent. 8:40 P.M. ET: The president now says he will address criticisms of his health plan. An uncomfortable moment here as he accuses people of lying. It would have been much more effective simply to address the issues. The president says his plan will not insure illegal immigrants. A lot of booing and catcalling. Clearly, some members of Congress don't believe the president on this point. 8:32 P.M. ET: The president says he'll now discuss details. About time. He starts outlining what his plan will do - no denial of coverage because of preexisting conditions, no dropping of insurance if you get sick, etc. This is the usual list, but it's well presented. Maybe the White House has learned something. But we still await critical details - like how we pay for this, and how we keep government out of heath decisions. 8:26 P.M. ET: Important moment: Obama concedes that the right way to proceed is to correct problems in the system, not try to build an entirely new system. This is a correct framework - ironically, it's a conservative position. The president is now talking about restoring bipartisanship. Okay, let's hear it. I want details. 8:20 P.M. ET: Obama says we're on the path to economic recovery. Odd way to start the speech. But now he's starting to talk about health care. The president says we are at the breaking point on health care. He begins well, outlining some of the serious problems that we actually have. He has some solid lines, citing individual cases. Can't deny that this is effective. But we know about all this. The question is: What will he propose? That's what we're waiting for. 8:15 P.M. ET: Nancy Pelosi is rapping her gavel. This is her moment. It's the one thing she does to at least a C-plus level. Obama starts. Everyone is getting health care already. Our life expectancy has gone up 20 years. Just kidding. The president begins by talking about unemployment. He says he wants Americans to have jobs. Everyone claps. 8:07 P.M. ET: The president has been introduced. There is lightness. There is goodness. There is teleprompting. He is walking down the aisle, ready for thenext sales pitch. Of course, everyone is smiling. The president kisses Hillary Clinton. I think he did it twice. Does this mean she's toast? Will we find her in a river? Camera is on the first lady. She doesn't look happy. I wonder if she's read the speech and fallen asleep. 8:01 P.M. ET: Numerous big shots are entering the House chamber. Can The One be far behind? (There are reports of thunder and lightning, and the heavens opening.) There's Hillary Clinton, looking as if she actually has power. There's Eric Holder, the attorney general, no doubt looking for rogue CIA agents under every bench.
COMMENT: Chalk this up to poor leadership, especially on the part of a president who believes that leadership comes from the mouth. No it doesn't, and no he can't. September 9, 2009 Permalink
5:00 P.M. ET: It's three hours 'til the president's health-care speech. Aren't you cured already? Smile. It's a government policy.
He is come, he is come. Hallelujah! Until you get to the fine print:
But he's not a rock star. He's not supposed to be an entertainer. He's a president, I think. More fine print:
COMMENT: What you're seeing is "popularity by not governing," an increasing domestic criticism of Obama. When he must finally make major decisions on these issues, will he go with popularity abroad, or will he make the right decisions for his country? The fact that we can't be sure is the fact that is most worrisome. Popularity has its price. September 9, 2009 Permalink
One public option the public could accept is the removal of Nancy Pelosi. Totally out of touch with anything outside the liberal salons of San Francisco.
And...
COMMENT: Too many Democrats simply don't understand why the public is skeptical about a public option. It isn't that the public doesn't think the government knows how to pay a bill. Medicare pays bills. Social Security sends out checks. It's that the public fears a government takeover of health-care decisions, creating a situation where a patient has no alternative. Americans have read some of the horror stories coming out of Britain, and that's what they want to avoid. The problem is, the left wing of the Democratic Party, centered in the California delegation to the House, is increasingly socialist, and has no problem with government control of health care, and a lot more, for that matter. And the party has not confronted this crowd with lessons on practical politics. September 9, 2009 Permalink
Continue to improve? Wasn't there a guy named Bush responsible for some of that?
We know, here in New York, that the NYPD is very worried about hotel security. Hotels are great symbols of major world cities.
And...
And that is why our total preparation for terrorism must continue. Somewhere out there a terrror group is dreaming of getting its hands on a nuclear or biological weapon, and using it. But we've become sleepy. The very success of President Bush's effort to protect the homeland, and the election of the leftish Obama administration has meant the downgrading of terror in the eyes of the American people. We will be woken up. September 9, 2009 Permalink
He will be seeking to salvage health-care "reform." Some, especially among the professional punditocracy, charge that it's in danger because of distortions and lies by the "right-wing attack machine." We say that it's in danger because it's poorly drawn up, poorly presented, and contains elements the public simply doesn't like. Mr. Obama must tonight do these things: 1) He must demonstrate that he knows the subject; 2) He must present a coherent reform plan, easily understandable, whose main points are clear, and he must present it quickly; 3) He must show that this plan will help the very people listening to him and is superior to what the nation has now; 4) He must demonsrate practicality; 5) He must include at least some tort reform, showing that he's willing to take on powerful elements in his own party who are holding back reform. Mr. Obama must not do these things: 1) He must not be arrogant and dismissive, talking down to the American people; 2) He must not blame some sinister force out there, but accept responsibility for the handling of his own plan; 3) He must not sound like a candidate, difficult for a man who's spent most of his career getting the job. This is different. Now he must do the job. We'll be watching the president tonight, and giving readers an instant reaction. We'll also be watching the Republican response, which must be thoughtful, creative, and contain proposals, not just criticism. September 9, 2009 Permalink
TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 8, 2009
Given the quality of her acceptance speech before the Republican National Convention last year, I'm going to guess that Palin either did write the column or, at minimum, guided it. Here's a sample. It's solid stuff:
COMMENT: If she keeps writing material like that, she'll build up a body of work that can take her into a future campaign. This is serious writing, well argued. I'd love to see her interviewed by Katie Couric again, and deck Couric - intellectually, of course. September 8, 2009 Permalink
I was monitoring MSNBC in late afternoon, and found myself thoroughly put off by the obvious, in-your-face liberal bias, and the sneering toward anyone who disagreed. Maybe they now consider themselves an entertainment operation rather than a news service, but there isn't even the pretense of objectivity. Now we have this, from the Washington Post, a newspaper that has actually improved, in my view, in the last year. It also has a civilized, liberal editorial page that's responsibly written. But I guess the subject of religion is too much for some at the paper. Consider:
I resent the term "Christian right." It's meant to conjure images of Bible thumpers and herds of thoughtless sheep rushing after a pastor. It's not fair. Many members of the "Christian right" are among the most charitable people you'll find.
They're not opposing "him." They have questions. Some of them may involve the intersection of religion and health care. It isn't just politics. The tone of this piece reveals a complete lack of respect.
The reporter could use some sensitivity training. I would never describe a moral question like abortion as a "bread-and-butter issue." I mean, please! This is the same journalistic mentality that will balk at terms like "Islamo-fascism." Doesn't show cultural sensitivity. Or, it will portray the leftist National Council of Churches as "mainstream." Not good, not good. Cultural bias is as bad as political bias. There is a tone here that a good editor should have detected, and rejected. September 8, 2009 Permalink
It was good to hear someone who actually knows the subject. Gold is worried. He detects, in Washington and elsewhere, a slackening of interest in Iran's nuclear weapons program. That shouldn't be shocking given the foreign-policy orientation of the Obama administration, but it's still disturbing to hear from a man with Gold's contacts. Gold warned that if the West responds weakly to Iran's current defiance, that will simply whet Iran's appetite. Iran, he said, watches North Korea carefully, and watches our reaction to North Korean missile and nuclear tests. So far, that reaction hasn't exactly made anyone shudder. Gold also cautioned that the Iranians are now very active in infiltrating Latin America. Finally, Gold expressed frustration at "intelligence" reports that defy common sense and give a false sense of security. He cited one report, widely quoted by the don't-bother-us media, that claimed that Iran only had old-fashioned, liquid-fueled missiles, not the more modern, solid-fueled kind. This report was issued despite published photographs showing Iranian missiles being launched, and trailing white smoke, proof to intelligence analysts of of solid-fuel engines. Gold said that Iran engages in the "diplomacy of deception," aimed at buying time, and he pointed out that Iran, historically, has been expert at that kind of maneuvering. I did not come away from the briefing with an optimistic sense. We are not winning against Iran, and we have a president in the White House who will not use the word "victory." September 8, 2009 Permalink
Note the legal excuse:
COMMENT: Government to the highest standards. Isn't that what we were promised? Changing the old ways. Kind of reminds us of Al Gore's "no controlling legal authority" and Bill Clinton's "I didn't inhale." There are Republicans who cross the line also, of course. The difference is, they get investigated by the press. Immediately. Faster than immediately. September 8, 2009 Permalink
But now there's a real crisis of academic freedom at Yale. And, in the midst of this crisis, when crucial decisions needed to be made, a major journalist disgraced himself. The Yale University Press is publishing a book about those Danish cartoons of the Prophet Mohammed that caused such a tumult several years ago among devout Muslims - riots in some cities, buildings set afire, all those civilized things that a religion of peace would do. The problem is, the cartoons themselves have been dropped from the book, under pressure, rendering the book almost useless. AP reports the scandal:
In other words, the bad guys win even before a single threat is made.
I love the term "liberal doctor." Is he the token liberal here? Well, maybe not:
Probably the most intelligent thing the AAUP has said in years. Now, get this:
COMMENT: We all know Zakaria. We see him on CNN all the time, another Amanpour-like "analyst." Does he understand the implications of what he's saying? Does he care? If the implied threat of violence is now causing our major universities to censor themselves, why isn't this a larger story? Again, the mainstream media lets us down, suppressing anything that might be embarrassing to the "third world" or "oppressed peoples." The party line marches on. What Yale did is a disgrace, but I doubt if you'll see many protests on college campuses, and you certainly won't see them in Middle East "studies" departments. This is the tip of the iceberg. Censorship has come to American universities. Of course, we've had warnings for years, in the form of "speech codes" and political correctness. Academic freedom indeed. Zakaria should be sent away to a retreat for a bit of reflection. September 8, 2009 Permalink
Now, military analyst Peter Brookes warns of another Obama cave-in on foreign policy that can have severe consequences for East European allies who have stood with us since the end of the Cold War:
That says it very well.
And good American leftists will always try to please the Russians. Oh, the nostalgia for the revolution. Oh, the songs!
Well, there are important countries and unimportant countries. Obama's list isn't the one we used for 50 years.
COMMENT: And we the people may never know the extent of the failure. Even if Iran gets nukes, we may deny it in the absence of a large-scale test. Or, we'll start talking Cold War-style deterrence. By the time Iran develops an important capacity, Obama might well be out of office, and we'll be left with the damage. September 8, 2009 Permalink
But wait. There are other possible Dem defections, for entirely different reasons:
COMMENT: Do you get the sense that the Democratic Party is dysfunctional and requires attention? It's Congress, so the attention required will be fully covered by a gold-plated health plan. The president has failed to lead, on this and on a host of other subjects. He has turned out to be, not the "yes we can" president, but the "well, maybe" president. Given some of his views, we should probably be relieved. We await the president's speech to a joint session of Congress Wednesday night. The effect will probably last about ten minutes. That's what overexposure does. September 8, 2009 Permalink
COMMENT: The president's leftward drift is bad enough on domestic policy. But remember that he hasn't faced a real crisis yet in foreign policy. If he heads left in a confrontation with enemies of the United States, he can really wind up as toast, unless he blames BUSH (!!) and the public buys it. September 8, 2009 Permalink
COMMENT: The problem with the Obama White House is that they think praise like this is good news. One of the problems Obama will face this political season is the growing belief that he's far more leftist than he wanted us to know during the election campaign. The in-the-tank media can try to minimize the damage by, say, ignoring things like the Van Jones scandal, but the truth has a strange way of blogging its way out. September 8, 2009 Permalink
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